Berlin (dpa) – It will be painful in one way or another. A drop “hurts”, as sports director Rachid Azzouzi from SpVgg Greuther Fürth said after being sealed in the second category.
At least one other club will follow the bottom of the Bundesliga table down. Above all, the short-term consequences are financial losses worth millions and usually even a loss of sports substance. However, in the long run, the sporting case could also have positive effects on clubs – or lead to a total clash.
Duel directly between Bielefeld and Hertha
On the 32nd day of the match, Arminia Bielefeld of the penultimate is fighting against direct fall just like Hertha BSC 15th before the direct duel. VfB Stuttgart in 16th place also has to shake before the home game against VfL Wolfsburg on Saturday (3.30 pm / Sky).
It does not matter who gets it in the end, one thing is clear: in the second league the income falls and with it the budget. According to estimates, it would be halved in Armenia, while in VfB it shrank by a third after the decline in 2019. “Due to lower television revenues, sales will fall by a double-digit million,” said the CEO. of VfB, Alexander Wehrle, of the German Press Agency. The economic situation has been aggravated by the losses caused by the Corona crisis. However, the clubs affected in the second category do not expect a drastic decrease in the number of spectators.
The discount has unpredictable consequences
From a personnel point of view, the reduction is followed in most cases by riots. Coach Stefan Leitl and some regular players are leaving the Fürth team, in Stuttgart a departure from Borna Sosa is extremely likely and Sasa Kalajdzic and Orel Mangala are also among the most sought after players. Arminia loses Patrick Wimmer of VfL Wolfsburg – but it’s part of the strategy, similar to VfB and Fürth, to attract young talent and generate transfer revenue. “This will be the way,” said Bielefeld sporting director Samir Arabi, despite the league.
The situation in Hertha is somewhat different. Investor Lars Windhorst poured 375 million euros into the club, but that money has now largely disappeared. The club is “ultimately in a vicious circle of high expectations, public noise, disappointed sporting hopes and many staff changes,” said managing director Fredi Bobic, who recently had to hire or sell players. expensive in particular. A drop from the category would accelerate the necessary reversal, but would probably also make it difficult. For the Berliners, much will depend on how the conflict between club president Werner Gegenbauer and investor Lars Windhorst ends – and whether Windhorst will inject new money after the season.
Direct goal return, but not predictable
But even with favorable starting conditions, a direct return to the Bundesliga is by no means guaranteed. Out of 101 relegations to the second division with one runway, 34 were promoted again immediately, six even dropped lower in the third division. Traditional clubs like 1. FC Kaiserslautern or MSV Duisburg have also had to fight for survival, and Arminia has also been relegated three times in the third division. Other first division clubs like Hamburger SV or Hannover 96 have fought in vain to overcome the promotion barrier.
Werder Bremen and FC Schalke 04 show that things can be done differently this year. The bitter decline after many years in the Bundesliga was followed by a successful sporting season for the two traditional clubs, despite several setbacks – the end of which could now be a return to the first division. Schalke has even managed to stabilize financially, at least somewhat. “We want to return to the Bundesliga in terms of sport. “We want to be able to operate on the basis of solid finances,” said CEO Bernd Schröder.
In addition to financial stability, economist Henning Zülch believes that staff reorganization is also a success factor. “If you use relegation to make a ‘tabula rasa’ and reposition yourself in important positions, a fresh start can be successful,” the Märkische Allgemeine Leipzig School of Management expert told Hertha’s possible prospects in the case of a descent. “If not, Hertha could become a new Hannover 96 and play in the second division without a strategy for years.”